27 Jun · 00:00 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
ML
🇵🇱Miroslaw Lewczuk
ELO 1546
FormWLLLW
69%Win chancemodel fair 1.45Oracz
JO
🇵🇱Jacek Oracz
ELO 1727
FormLWWLW
31%
69%
Fair odds · Oracz
Model 69% · 1.45vsMarket 76% · 1.32· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 48%Total ~74 pts
1-3
26%
0-3
22%
2-3
21%
3-2
14%
3-1
11%
Elo Gap+181
H2H21-8
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+181)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (21-8)