26 Jun · 23:55 MESZLow · Coin Flip
PS
🇵🇱Pawel Slosarczyk
ELO 1423
FormWLLLL
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Slosarczyk
WU
🇵🇱Wojciech Urban
ELO 1419
FormWWLWW
50%
50%
Fair odds · Slosarczyk
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 29% · 3.46· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 32%Total ~78 pts
3-1
19%
3-2
19%
2-3
19%
1-3
19%
3-0
13%
Elo Gap+4
H2H3-9
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.