27 Jun · 01:05 MESZLow · Slight Edge
RW
🇵🇱Roman Wiza
ELO 1395
FormWLLWW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Slosarczyk
PS
🇵🇱Pawel Slosarczyk
ELO 1431
FormWWLLL
46%
54%
Fair odds · Slosarczyk
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 31% · 3.22· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~77 pts
1-3
20%
2-3
19%
3-2
18%
3-1
17%
0-3
14%
Elo Gap+36
H2H6-12
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.