27 Jun · 00:55 MESZLow · Slight Edge
JW
🇵🇱Jakub Wozniak
ELO 1402
FormWLLLW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Warpas
BW
🇵🇱Blazej Warpas
ELO 1437
FormLWWLW
46%
54%
Fair odds · Warpas
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 55% · 1.83· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~76 pts
1-3
20%
2-3
19%
3-2
18%
3-1
17%
0-3
14%
Elo Gap+35
H2H2-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.