27 Jun · 00:50 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
JO
🇵🇱Jacek Oracz
ELO 1714
FormLLWWL
69%Win chancemodel fair 1.45Oracz
JZ
🇵🇱Jacek Zelezik
ELO 1535
FormLLWWW
69%
31%
Fair odds · Oracz
Model 69% · 1.45vsMarket 74% · 1.36· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 48%Total ~75 pts
3-1
26%
3-0
22%
3-2
21%
2-3
14%
1-3
11%
Elo Gap+179
H2H7-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+179)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (7-3)