27 Jun · 00:40 MESZLow · Slight Edge
OV
🇵🇱Oliver Vincenec
ELO 1450
FormWWWWL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Vincenec
WU
🇵🇱Wojciech Urban
ELO 1411
FormLWWLW
54%
46%
Fair odds · Vincenec
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 48% · 2.08· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~79 pts
3-1
20%
3-2
20%
2-3
18%
1-3
17%
3-0
14%
Elo Gap+39
H2H11-18
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.