27 Jun · 01:20 MESZMedium · Model Lean
KG
🇵🇱Kuba Golaszewski
ELO 1360
FormLLLLL
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Warpas
BW
🇵🇱Blazej Warpas
ELO 1437
FormLWWLW
42%
58%
Fair odds · Warpas
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 58% · 1.71· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~78 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
20%
3-2
17%
0-3
16%
3-1
15%
Elo Gap+77
H2H15-10
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+77)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (15-10)