27 Jun · 01:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
RA
🇵🇱Rafal Adach
ELO 1351
FormWLLLL
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Urban
WU
🇵🇱Wojciech Urban
ELO 1404
FormLLWWL
44%
56%
Fair odds · Urban
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 58% · 1.72· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~79 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
20%
3-2
17%
3-1
16%
0-3
15%
Elo Gap+53
H2H6-6
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+53)