27 Jun · 02:20 MESZMedium · Model Lean
OV
🇵🇱Oliver Vincenec
ELO 1457
FormWWWWW
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Vincenec
RW
🇵🇱Roman Wiza
ELO 1388
FormLWLLW
58%
42%
Fair odds · Vincenec
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 50% · 2.01· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~78 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
20%
2-3
17%
3-0
16%
1-3
16%
Elo Gap+69
H2H8-6
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+69)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (8-6)