27 Jun · 03:10 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
MN
🇵🇱Michal Natkaniec
ELO 1442
FormLLWLL
76%Win chancemodel fair 1.32Oracz
JO
🇵🇱Jacek Oracz
ELO 1702
FormLLLWW
24%
76%
Fair odds · Oracz
Model 76% · 1.32vsMarket 79% · 1.26· vig 6%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 56%Total ~74 pts
1-3
29%
0-3
27%
2-3
20%
3-2
11%
3-1
9%
Elo Gap+260
H2H25-6
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+260)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (25-6)