27 Jun · 03:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
KG
🇵🇱Kuba Golaszewski
ELO 1352
FormLLLLL
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Klocek
KK
🇵🇱Kamil Klocek
ELO 1430
FormLWWWW
42%
58%
Fair odds · Klocek
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 51% · 1.97· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~77 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
20%
3-2
17%
0-3
16%
3-1
15%
Elo Gap+78
H2H41-15
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+78)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (41-15)