27 Jun · 02:45 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
RA
🇵🇱Rafal Adach
ELO 1346
FormLWLLL
72%Win chancemodel fair 1.39Szymik
RS
🇵🇱Robert Szymik
ELO 1563
FormLLLLW
28%
72%
Fair odds · Szymik
Model 72% · 1.39vsMarket 78% · 1.28· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 52%Total ~74 pts
1-3
27%
0-3
24%
2-3
21%
3-2
12%
3-1
10%
Elo Gap+217
H2H36-13
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+217)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (36-13)