27 Jun · 02:10 MESZMedium · Model Lean
KG
🇵🇱Kuba Golaszewski
ELO 1352
FormLLLLL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Wozniak
JW
🇵🇱Jakub Wozniak
ELO 1399
FormWLWLL
45%
55%
Fair odds · Wozniak
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 66% · 1.51· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~77 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
20%
3-2
18%
3-1
17%
0-3
15%
Elo Gap+47
H2H1-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+47)
- ✓Better recent form (2-3)