27 Jun · 03:10 MESZLow · Slight Edge
RW
🇵🇱Roman Wiza
ELO 1388
FormLWLLW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Urban
WU
🇵🇱Wojciech Urban
ELO 1410
FormWLLWW
48%
52%
Fair odds · Urban
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 59% · 1.69· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 33%Total ~79 pts
1-3
20%
2-3
19%
3-2
18%
3-1
18%
0-3
13%
Elo Gap+22
H2H9-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.