27 Jun · 03:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
OV
🇵🇱Oliver Vincenec
ELO 1457
FormWWWWW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Vincenec
PS
🇵🇱Pawel Slosarczyk
ELO 1447
FormWWWWL
51%
49%
Fair odds · Vincenec
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 45% · 2.24· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 32%Total ~77 pts
3-1
19%
3-2
19%
2-3
19%
1-3
18%
3-0
13%
Elo Gap+10
H2H10-9
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.