27 Jun · 03:35 MESZMedium · Model Lean
HT
🇵🇱Henryk Tkaczyk
ELO 1636
FormLWLWL
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Tkaczyk
JZ
🇵🇱Jacek Zelezik
ELO 1556
FormWWLLW
59%
41%
Fair odds · Tkaczyk
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 63% · 1.59· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~76 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
20%
2-3
17%
3-0
16%
1-3
15%
Elo Gap+80
H2H13-12
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+80)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (13-12)