27 Jun · 04:20 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
RA
🇵🇱Rafal Adach
ELO 1342
FormLLWLL
63%Win chancemodel fair 1.59Vincenec
OV
🇵🇱Oliver Vincenec
ELO 1457
FormWLWWW
37%
63%
Fair odds · Vincenec
Model 63% · 1.59vsMarket 70% · 1.42· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 42%Total ~77 pts
1-3
24%
2-3
21%
0-3
18%
3-2
16%
3-1
14%
Elo Gap+115
H2H6-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+115)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (6-1)