27 Jun · 05:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
SW
🇵🇱Stanislaw Wnek
ELO 1360
FormLLLLW
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Przewlocki
JP
🇵🇱Jacek Przewlocki
ELO 1413
FormWLWWL
44%
56%
Fair odds · Przewlocki
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 54% · 1.85· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~79 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
20%
3-2
17%
3-1
16%
0-3
15%
Elo Gap+53
H2H4-4
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+53)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)