27 Jun · 05:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
RA
🇵🇱Rafal Adach
ELO 1336
FormLLLWL
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Wiza
RW
🇵🇱Roman Wiza
ELO 1395
FormWLWLW
43%
57%
Fair odds · Wiza
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 47% · 2.12· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~77 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
20%
3-2
17%
3-1
16%
0-3
15%
Elo Gap+59
H2H19-36
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+59)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)