27 Jun · 06:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
SW
🇵🇱Stanislaw Wnek
ELO 1370
FormWLLLL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Kotyl
KK
🇵🇱Krzysztof Kotyl
ELO 1388
FormWLWLW
48%
52%
Fair odds · Kotyl
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 53% · 1.90· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 33%Total ~77 pts
1-3
20%
2-3
19%
3-2
18%
3-1
18%
0-3
13%
Elo Gap+18
H2H10-9
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.