27 Jun · 06:10 MESZLow · Slight Edge
JP
🇵🇱Jacek Przewlocki
ELO 1403
FormLWLWW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Przewlocki
KK
🇵🇱Krzysztof Kotyl
ELO 1388
FormWLWLW
52%
48%
Fair odds · Przewlocki
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 63% · 1.58· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 33%Total ~79 pts
3-1
19%
3-2
19%
2-3
18%
1-3
18%
3-0
13%
Elo Gap+15
H2H45-53
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.