27 Jun · 07:15 MESZLow · Slight Edge
SW
🇵🇱Stanislaw Wnek
ELO 1369
FormWLWLL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Przewlocki
JP
🇵🇱Jacek Przewlocki
ELO 1406
FormLWLWL
46%
54%
Fair odds · Przewlocki
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 54% · 1.85· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~79 pts
1-3
20%
2-3
19%
3-2
18%
3-1
17%
0-3
14%
Elo Gap+37
H2H4-5
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.