27 Jun · 07:05 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
RA
🇵🇱Rafal Adach
ELO 1329
FormLLLLW
60%Win chancemodel fair 1.67Slosarczyk
PS
🇵🇱Pawel Slosarczyk
ELO 1422
FormLLLWW
40%
60%
Fair odds · Slosarczyk
Model 60% · 1.67vsMarket 59% · 1.69· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~76 pts
1-3
23%
2-3
20%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-1
15%
Elo Gap+93
H2H4-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+93)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (4-1)