27 Jun · 07:35 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
MK
🇵🇱Mariusz Koczyba
ELO 1637
FormWLWWL
75%Win chancemodel fair 1.33Koczyba
OS
🇵🇱Oliwier Sokolowski
ELO 1386
FormLWLWW
75%
25%
Fair odds · Koczyba
Model 75% · 1.33vsMarket 76% · 1.31· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 55%Total ~74 pts
3-1
28%
3-0
26%
3-2
20%
2-3
11%
1-3
9%
Elo Gap+251
H2H4-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+251)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (4-1)