27 Jun · 08:55 MESZLow · Coin Flip
SW
🇵🇱Stanislaw Wnek
ELO 1379
FormWWLWL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Wnek
KK
🇵🇱Krzysztof Kotyl
ELO 1373
FormWLLWL
51%
49%
Fair odds · Wnek
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 49% · 2.03· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 32%Total ~77 pts
3-1
19%
3-2
19%
2-3
19%
1-3
18%
3-0
13%
Elo Gap+6
H2H10-10
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.