27 Jun · 08:45 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
PJ
🇵🇱Patryk Jedrzejak
ELO 1669
FormWLWWW
66%Win chancemodel fair 1.52Jedrzejak
LB
🇵🇱Lukasz Bernacki
ELO 1519
FormLLLWW
66%
34%
Fair odds · Jedrzejak
Model 66% · 1.52vsMarket 63% · 1.58· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 45%Total ~76 pts
3-1
25%
3-2
21%
3-0
20%
2-3
15%
1-3
12%
Elo Gap+150
H2H13-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+150)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (13-2)