27 Jun · 09:30 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
DM
🇵🇱Daniel Morawiec
ELO 1557
FormLWWWW
65%Win chancemodel fair 1.54Morawiec
RW
🇵🇱Rafal Wojcik
ELO 1417
FormWLLLW
65%
35%
Fair odds · Morawiec
Model 65% · 1.54vsMarket 58% · 1.71· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 44%Total ~77 pts
3-1
25%
3-2
21%
3-0
20%
2-3
15%
1-3
13%
Elo Gap+140
H2H24-12
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+140)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (24-12)