27 Jun · 10:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MK
🇵🇱Mariusz Koczyba
ELO 1631
FormLWWLW
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Koczyba
WP
🇵🇱Wojciech Pytlas
ELO 1578
FormWWLWW
56%
44%
Fair odds · Koczyba
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~75 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
20%
2-3
17%
1-3
16%
3-0
15%
Elo Gap+53
H2H35-31
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+53)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (35-31)