27 Jun · 09:55 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
LB
🇵🇱Lukasz Bernacki
ELO 1505
FormLLLLL
60%Win chancemodel fair 1.67Bernacki
SJ
🇵🇱Sebastian Juzek
ELO 1418
FormLLWWW
60%
40%
Fair odds · Bernacki
Model 60% · 1.67vsMarket 71% · 1.41· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~77 pts
3-1
23%
3-2
20%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
1-3
15%
Elo Gap+87
H2H6-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+87)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (6-0)