27 Jun · 12:40 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
DM
🇵🇱Daniel Morawiec
ELO 1563
FormWLWLW
66%Win chancemodel fair 1.52Morawiec
SJ
🇵🇱Sebastian Juzek
ELO 1410
FormLWLLL
66%
34%
Fair odds · Morawiec
Model 66% · 1.52vsMarket 68% · 1.48· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 46%Total ~77 pts
3-1
25%
3-2
21%
3-0
20%
2-3
14%
1-3
12%
Elo Gap+153
H2H2-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+153)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (2-0)