27 Jun · 18:55 MESZMedium · Model Lean
PG
🇵🇱Piotr Gesiarz
ELO 1454
FormWLLWW
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Gesiarz
PC
🇵🇱Pawel Chojnacki
ELO 1367
FormLWWLW
59%
41%
Fair odds · Gesiarz
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 58% · 1.72· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~78 pts
3-1
23%
3-2
20%
3-0
17%
2-3
17%
1-3
15%
Elo Gap+87
H2H1-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+87)