27 Jun · 19:45 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
ML
🇵🇱Miroslaw Lewczuk
ELO 1560
FormLWWLW
62%Win chancemodel fair 1.61Lewczuk
PG
🇵🇱Piotr Gesiarz
ELO 1454
FormWLLWW
62%
38%
Fair odds · Lewczuk
Model 62% · 1.61vsMarket 61% · 1.65· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~76 pts
3-1
23%
3-2
20%
3-0
18%
2-3
16%
1-3
14%
Elo Gap+106
H2H13-7
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+106)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (13-7)