27 Jun · 14:20 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
DM
🇵🇱Daniel Morawiec
ELO 1567
FormWWLWL
61%Win chancemodel fair 1.64Jedrzejak
PJ
🇵🇱Patryk Jedrzejak
ELO 1669
FormWLWWW
39%
61%
Fair odds · Jedrzejak
Model 61% · 1.64vsMarket 49% · 2.02· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~77 pts
1-3
23%
2-3
20%
0-3
18%
3-2
16%
3-1
14%
Elo Gap+102
H2H32-17
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+102)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (32-17)