27 Jun · 14:40 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JP
🇵🇱Jacek Przewlocki
ELO 1385
FormLLWLW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Przewlocki
BW
🇵🇱Bartlomiej Wisniewski
ELO 1335
FormWLLLL
55%
45%
Fair odds · Przewlocki
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 48% · 2.08· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~80 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
20%
2-3
18%
1-3
17%
3-0
15%
Elo Gap+50
H2H46-28
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+50)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (46-28)