27 Jun · 16:20 MESZMedium · Model Lean
BW
🇵🇱Bartlomiej Wisniewski
ELO 1324
FormLLWLL
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Wnek
SW
🇵🇱Stanislaw Wnek
ELO 1389
FormWWLWL
43%
57%
Fair odds · Wnek
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 53% · 1.89· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~78 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
20%
3-2
17%
3-1
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+65
H2H27-26
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+65)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (27-26)