27 Jun · 18:20 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
LB
🇵🇱Lukasz Bernacki
ELO 1465
FormLLLWL
72%Win chancemodel fair 1.39Jedrzejak
PJ
🇵🇱Patryk Jedrzejak
ELO 1681
FormWWWWL
28%
72%
Fair odds · Jedrzejak
Model 72% · 1.39vsMarket 53% · 1.89· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 52%Total ~75 pts
1-3
27%
0-3
24%
2-3
21%
3-2
12%
3-1
10%
Elo Gap+216
H2H14-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+216)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (14-2)