27 Jun · 18:25 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
JO
🇵🇱Jacek Oracz
ELO 1723
FormWWWWL
65%Win chancemodel fair 1.54Oracz
CP
🇵🇱Cezary Pawlik
ELO 1585
FormLLLWW
65%
35%
Fair odds · Oracz
Model 65% · 1.54vsMarket 54% · 1.85· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 44%Total ~76 pts
3-1
25%
3-2
21%
3-0
20%
2-3
15%
1-3
13%
Elo Gap+138
H2H21-21
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+138)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)