27 Jun · 19:05 MESZMedium · Model Lean
AC
🇵🇱Aleksander Cichocki
ELO 1461
FormWWWWW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Cichocki
RW
🇵🇱Rafal Wojcik
ELO 1415
FormLWLLW
55%
45%
Fair odds · Cichocki
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 55% · 1.81· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~77 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
20%
2-3
18%
1-3
17%
3-0
15%
Elo Gap+46
H2H1-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+46)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)