27 Jun · 18:40 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
DM
🇵🇱Daniel Morawiec
ELO 1547
FormWLLLW
65%Win chancemodel fair 1.54Morawiec
SJ
🇵🇱Sebastian Juzek
ELO 1406
FormWLLLL
65%
35%
Fair odds · Morawiec
Model 65% · 1.54vsMarket 62% · 1.62· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 44%Total ~77 pts
3-1
25%
3-2
21%
3-0
20%
2-3
15%
1-3
13%
Elo Gap+141
H2H3-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+141)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (3-0)