27 Jun · 19:20 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
BK
🇵🇱Bartosz Kwodawski
ELO 1364
FormLWWLW
67%Win chancemodel fair 1.49Kolek
MK
🇵🇱Maciej Kolek
ELO 1519
FormWLLLL
33%
67%
Fair odds · Kolek
Model 67% · 1.49vsMarket 81% · 1.24· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 46%Total ~76 pts
1-3
25%
2-3
21%
0-3
21%
3-2
14%
3-1
12%
Elo Gap+155
H2H4-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+155)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (4-0)