27 Jun · 20:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
JO
🇵🇱Jacek Oracz
ELO 1726
FormWWWWW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Oracz
AF
🇵🇱Andriej Fomin
ELO 1687
FormWWWWW
54%
46%
Fair odds · Oracz
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 57% · 1.75· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~78 pts
3-1
20%
3-2
20%
2-3
18%
1-3
17%
3-0
14%
Elo Gap+39
H2H29-11
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.