27 Jun · 19:45 MESZLow · Slight Edge
ID
🇵🇱Igor Dabrowski
ELO 1477
FormWLWLL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Glanowski
JG
🇵🇱Jakub Glanowski
ELO 1494
FormLLWWW
48%
52%
Fair odds · Glanowski
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 51% · 1.97· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 33%Total ~77 pts
1-3
20%
2-3
19%
3-2
18%
3-1
18%
0-3
13%
Elo Gap+17
H2H18-25
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.