27 Jun · 20:25 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
MK
🇵🇱Michal Krutak
ELO 1599
FormLLLWW
77%Win chancemodel fair 1.30Krutak
AS
🇵🇱Adam Staniczek
ELO 1327
FormLLWWL
77%
23%
Fair odds · Krutak
Model 77% · 1.30vsMarket 80% · 1.24· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 57%Total ~76 pts
3-1
29%
3-0
28%
3-2
20%
2-3
11%
1-3
8%
Elo Gap+272
H2H4-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+272)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (4-0)