27 Jun · 21:55 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
RS
🇵🇱Robert Szymik
ELO 1543
FormWWLLL
77%Win chancemodel fair 1.30Szymik
GS
🇵🇱Grzegorz Sawicki
ELO 1269
FormWLLLW
77%
23%
Fair odds · Szymik
Model 77% · 1.30vsMarket 73% · 1.37· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 57%Total ~73 pts
3-1
29%
3-0
28%
3-2
20%
2-3
11%
1-3
8%
Elo Gap+274
H2H37-9
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+274)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (37-9)