27 Jun · 21:35 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
AS
🇵🇱Adam Staniczek
ELO 1326
FormLLLWW
73%Win chancemodel fair 1.37Wozniczka
MW
🇵🇱Marcin Wozniczka
ELO 1554
FormWWLLW
27%
73%
Fair odds · Wozniczka
Model 73% · 1.37vsMarket 75% · 1.33· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 53%Total ~75 pts
1-3
28%
0-3
25%
2-3
21%
3-2
12%
3-1
10%
Elo Gap+228
H2H9-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+228)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (9-3)