27 Jun · 22:20 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
AF
🇵🇱Andriej Fomin
ELO 1699
FormWWWWW
65%Win chancemodel fair 1.54Fomin
MW
🇵🇱Marcin Wozniczka
ELO 1554
FormWWLLW
65%
35%
Fair odds · Fomin
Model 65% · 1.54vsMarket 49% · 2.06· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 45%Total ~78 pts
3-1
25%
3-2
21%
3-0
20%
2-3
15%
1-3
13%
Elo Gap+145
H2H2-7
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+145)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)