27 Jun · 22:45 MESZMedium · Model Lean
RA
🇵🇱Rafal Adach
ELO 1329
FormLLWLL
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Nowak
JN
🇵🇱Jakub Nowak
ELO 1379
FormWLWLL
44%
56%
Fair odds · Nowak
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 50% · 1.99· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~78 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
20%
3-2
18%
3-1
17%
0-3
15%
Elo Gap+50
H2H5-11
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+50)