27 Jun · 22:45 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
JO
🇵🇱Jacek Oracz
ELO 1713
FormLLWWW
84%Win chancemodel fair 1.19Oracz
AS
🇵🇱Adam Staniczek
ELO 1332
FormWLLLW
84%
16%
Fair odds · Oracz
Model 84% · 1.19vsMarket 85% · 1.18· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 66%Total ~72 pts
3-0
35%
3-1
31%
3-2
18%
2-3
8%
1-3
5%
Elo Gap+381
H2H17-5
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+381)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (17-5)