27 Jun · 23:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
RW
🇵🇱Roman Wiza
ELO 1415
FormLWWWW
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Wiza
RA
🇵🇱Rafal Adach
ELO 1329
FormLLWLL
59%
41%
Fair odds · Wiza
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 64% · 1.56· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~77 pts
3-1
23%
3-2
20%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
1-3
15%
Elo Gap+86
H2H20-36
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+86)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)