27 Jun · 23:10 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MK
🇵🇱Michal Krutak
ELO 1597
FormLWWLL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Krutak
MW
🇵🇱Marcin Wozniczka
ELO 1548
FormLWWLL
55%
45%
Fair odds · Krutak
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 55% · 1.81· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~79 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
20%
2-3
18%
1-3
17%
3-0
15%
Elo Gap+49
H2H2-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+49)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (2-1)